Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-22
The Diagnosis
SUPERSTITIONS won at Cannon Park on one of its slower days — 13% of its own runs, and 9% of the track
SUPERSTITIONS won race 4 at Cannon Park, faster than 91% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
SUPERSTITIONS won race 4 at Cannon Park on Soft 6 over 1400m, averaging 16.55 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 13% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 91% of the field it beat |
| faster than 76% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 38% of Nathan Thomas's rides |
| faster than 9% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 2 of 11 in the market at $3.8 |
| 1 of 1 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-22Partial trainer withheld — the evidence didn't support it
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