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Football · The FeePublished · 2026-08-12
The Fee

€1.5m under the valuation: Hayao Kawabe moved to Sanf. Hiroshima at 0.70× his market price

The fee, the valuation, and the 30% gap between them — read against every priced deal the J1 League did in 2024/25.
THE BACK PAGE  ·  the money behind the move  ·  ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA

Sanf. Hiroshima paid €3.5m for Hayao Kawabe. The market value recorded against him at the time was €5.0m. The difference is €1.5m, and the ratio is 0.70×.

Fee paid
€3.5m
Market value at the move
€5.0m
Multiple
0.70×
Below the valuation by €1.5m.

Of the 13 deals into the J1 League in 2024/25 where both a fee and a valuation are on record, 7 were done at a higher multiple than this one — 54% of them. That is what makes this price ordinary or unusual: its own league, its own season, not a feeling about the player.

A market value is the market's estimate, not a price tag, and a club paying above or below one is doing business, not making a mistake. What the gap measures is how far this club's read sat from the consensus — nothing about how the player performs next.

Transfer record, fees and market values: ACTUAL TRANSFER MARKET (actualtransfermarket.com). Analysis: ACTUAL SPORT INTELLIGENCE.

Confidence HighEvidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-12
#transfer#fee#market value#j1 league
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