2.33× the market's number: what Midtjylland paid over Dani Silva's €1.5m valuation

Midtjylland paid €3.5m for Dani Silva. The market value recorded against him at the time was €1.5m. The difference is €2.0m, and the ratio is 2.33×.

Of the 46 deals into the Danish Superliga in 2024/25 where both a fee and a valuation are on record, 5 were done at a higher multiple than this one — 11% of them. That is what makes this price ordinary or unusual: its own league, its own season, not a feeling about the player.

A market value is the market's estimate, not a price tag, and a club paying above or below one is doing business, not making a mistake. What the gap measures is how far this club's read sat from the consensus — nothing about how the player performs next.

Transfer record, fees and market values: ACTUAL TRANSFER MARKET (actualtransfermarket.com). Analysis: ACTUAL SPORT INTELLIGENCE.