Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-25
The Diagnosis
TOUGH GUY's win at Tamworth was faster than 95% of everything run at the trip, and 80% of the track
TOUGH GUY won race 6 at Tamworth, faster than 89% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
TOUGH GUY won race 6 at Tamworth on Soft 6 over 1200m, averaging 17.22 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 67% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 89% of the field it beat |
| faster than 95% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 89% of Rory Hutchings's rides |
| faster than 67% of Melissa Dennett's runners |
| faster than 80% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 2 of 9 in the market at $2.45 |
| 2 of 2 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-25
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