Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-22
The Diagnosis
THIRTEENTH MAN's win at Charleville was faster than 41% of everything run at the trip, and 26% of the track
THIRTEENTH MAN won race 3 at Charleville, faster than 88% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
THIRTEENTH MAN won race 3 at Charleville on Soft over 1400m, averaging 16.16 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 88% of the field it beat |
| faster than 41% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 31% of Ms Colleen Krahnen's rides |
| faster than 17% of Royce Connolly's runners |
| faster than 26% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 2 of 8 in the market at $3.3 |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-22Partial horse withheld — the evidence didn't support it
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