Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-11
The Diagnosis
THIEF BY NIGHT won at Dalby on one of its slower days — 23% of its own runs
THIEF BY NIGHT won race 5 at Dalby, faster than 90% of the field it beat and 19% of everything clocked at the track. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
THIEF BY NIGHT won race 5 at Dalby on Good 4 over 1400m, averaging 16.47 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 23% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 90% of the field it beat |
| faster than 46% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 64% of Paul Hamblin's rides |
| faster than 33% of Rod Hilton's runners |
| faster than 19% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 8 of 10 in the market at $19.0 |
| 1 of 1 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-11
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