Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-23
The Diagnosis
THE MARINER won at Port Augusta from 6 of 10 in the market, and 92% of the track
THE MARINER won race 6 at Port Augusta, faster than 90% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
THE MARINER won race 6 at Port Augusta on Good over 1100m, averaging 16.75 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 73% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 90% of the field it beat |
| faster than 35% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 90% of Ms Polly Brewster's rides |
| faster than 88% of Stephen Lenehan's runners |
| faster than 92% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 6 of 10 in the market at $16.0 |
| 0 of 3 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-23
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