Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-15
The Diagnosis
TEN COMMANDMENTS's win at Caulfield was faster than 82% of everything run at the trip, and 63% of the track
TEN COMMANDMENTS won race 4 at Caulfield, faster than 90% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
TEN COMMANDMENTS won race 4 at Caulfield on Soft 7 over 1400m, averaging 16.7 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 61% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 90% of the field it beat |
| faster than 82% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 73% of Ryan Houston's rides |
| faster than 73% of Ciaron Maher's runners |
| faster than 63% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 1 of 10 in the market at $3.6 |
| 4 of 4 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-15
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