Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-01
The Diagnosis
STAGE ’N’ SCREEN ran faster than 78% of its own record — from 5 of 11 in the market
STAGE ’N’ SCREEN won race 5 at Flemington, faster than 82% of the field it beat and 78% of everything clocked at the track. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
STAGE ’N’ SCREEN won race 5 at Flemington on Good 4 over 1410m, averaging 16.95 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 78% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 82% of the field it beat |
| faster than 88% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 83% of Logan Bates's rides |
| faster than 80% of Mark Walker's runners |
| faster than 78% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 5 of 11 in the market at $8.5 |
| 0 of 4 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-01
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