Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-18
The Diagnosis
SPEEDTAIL's win at Ballarat Synthetic was faster than 75% of everything run at the trip, and 84% of the track
SPEEDTAIL won race 6 at Ballarat Synthetic, faster than 91% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
SPEEDTAIL won race 6 at Ballarat Synthetic on Synthetic over 1200m, averaging 16.63 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 50% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 91% of the field it beat |
| faster than 75% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 78% of Craig Newitt's rides |
| faster than 62% of Cody Reardon's runners |
| faster than 84% of everything clocked at the track |
| 2 of 2 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-18
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