Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-03
The Diagnosis
SOUL MISTRESS won at Pakenham Synthetic on one of its slower days — 22% of its own runs
SOUL MISTRESS won race 1 at Pakenham Synthetic and 4% of everything clocked at the track. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
SOUL MISTRESS won race 1 at Pakenham Synthetic on Synthetic over 2200m, averaging 15.75 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 22% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 51% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 13% of Jye McNeil's rides |
| faster than 22% of Ken & Kasey Keys's runners |
| faster than 4% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 1 of 5 in the market at $1.4 |
| 1 of 1 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-03Partial field withheld — the evidence didn't support it
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