Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-23
The Diagnosis
SHADOW DANE's win at Narromine was faster than 50% of everything run at the trip, and 56% of the track
SHADOW DANE won race 8 at Narromine, faster than 88% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
SHADOW DANE won race 8 at Narromine on Soft 7 over 1600m, averaging 15.98 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 88% of the field it beat |
| faster than 50% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 24% of Liam Blanch's rides |
| faster than 10% of Michael Mulholland's runners |
| faster than 56% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 3 of 8 in the market at $5.5 |
| 2 of 2 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-23Partial horse withheld — the evidence didn't support it
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