Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-31
The Diagnosis
SACRAMENTAL won at Ballarat Synthetic from 7 of 11 in the market, and 73% of the track
SACRAMENTAL won race 6 at Ballarat Synthetic, faster than 91% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
SACRAMENTAL won race 6 at Ballarat Synthetic on Synthetic over 1400m, averaging 16.49 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 38% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 91% of the field it beat |
| faster than 84% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 61% of Harry Coffey's rides |
| faster than 77% of Andrew Bobbin's runners |
| faster than 73% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 7 of 11 in the market at $12.0 |
| 1 of 1 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-31
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