Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-28
The Diagnosis
ROGUERY's win at Gold Coast was faster than 81% of everything run at the trip, and 24% of the track
ROGUERY won race 5 at Gold Coast, faster than 90% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
ROGUERY won race 5 at Gold Coast on Good 4 over 1800m, averaging 16.35 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 52% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 90% of the field it beat |
| faster than 81% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 52% of Daniel Moor's rides |
| faster than 12% of Tony Gollan's runners |
| faster than 24% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 1 of 10 in the market at $2.2 |
| 4 of 4 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-28
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