Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-28
The Diagnosis
RED HOT LIZZIE's win at Cannon Park was faster than 99% of everything run at the trip, and 68% of the track
RED HOT LIZZIE won race 7 at Cannon Park, faster than 93% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
RED HOT LIZZIE won race 7 at Cannon Park on Good 4 over 1400m, averaging 17.11 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 40% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 93% of the field it beat |
| faster than 99% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 64% of Adam Sewell's rides |
| faster than 74% of Lachie Manzelmann's runners |
| faster than 68% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 5 of 14 in the market at $11.0 |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-28
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