Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-14
The Diagnosis
POMAH's win at Geelong was faster than 77% of everything run at the trip, and 39% of the track
POMAH won race 4 at Geelong, faster than 90% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
POMAH won race 4 at Geelong on Heavy 8 over 1225m, averaging 16.25 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 90% of the field it beat |
| faster than 77% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 29% of Blake Shinn's rides |
| faster than 44% of Danny O'Brien's runners |
| faster than 39% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 2 of 10 in the market at $3.8 |
| 2 of 2 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-14Partial horse withheld — the evidence didn't support it
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