Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-22
The Diagnosis
POLLY HOFFA won at Mount Isa on one of its slower days — 19% of its own runs, and 62% of the track
POLLY HOFFA won race 3 at Mount Isa. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
POLLY HOFFA won race 3 at Mount Isa on Good over 1200m, averaging 16.37 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 19% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 12% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 25% of Ms Brooke Stower's rides |
| faster than 32% of Tanya Parry's runners |
| faster than 62% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 1 of 6 in the market at $3.0 |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-22Partial field withheld — the evidence didn't support it
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