Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-03
The Diagnosis
PEACE BIRD's win at Goulburn was faster than 81% of everything run at the trip
PEACE BIRD won race 3 at Goulburn, faster than 89% of the field it beat and 92% of everything clocked at the track. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
PEACE BIRD won race 3 at Goulburn on Good 4 over 1400m, averaging 16.83 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 89% of the field it beat |
| faster than 81% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 79% of Dale Cole's rides |
| faster than 79% of Ciaron Maher's runners |
| faster than 92% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 2 of 9 in the market at $3.3 |
| 1 of 1 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-03Partial horse withheld — the evidence didn't support it
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