Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-18
The Diagnosis
OUR SPARKY won at Grafton from 10 of 13 in the market, and 23% of the track
OUR SPARKY won race 7 at Grafton, faster than 92% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
OUR SPARKY won race 7 at Grafton on Soft 7 over 1630m, averaging 16.26 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 50% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 92% of the field it beat |
| faster than 74% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 47% of Kirk Matheson's rides |
| faster than 47% of Owen Glue's runners |
| faster than 23% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 10 of 13 in the market at $17.0 |
| 1 of 4 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-18
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