Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-09
The Diagnosis
NULKABA STAR's win at Muswellbrook was faster than 77% of everything run at the trip
NULKABA STAR won race 2 at Muswellbrook, faster than 88% of the field it beat and 74% of everything clocked at the track. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
NULKABA STAR won race 2 at Muswellbrook on Good 4 over 1280m, averaging 17.02 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 60% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 88% of the field it beat |
| faster than 77% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 86% of Ms Mollie Fitzgerald's rides |
| faster than 80% of Jeremy Sylvester's runners |
| faster than 74% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 2 of 8 in the market at $3.8 |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-09
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