Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-22
The Diagnosis
NOLAN won at Cannon Park on one of its slower days — 6% of its own runs, and 21% of the track
NOLAN won race 8 at Cannon Park, faster than 91% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
NOLAN won race 8 at Cannon Park on Soft 6 over 1250m, averaging 16.8 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 6% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 91% of the field it beat |
| faster than 93% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 42% of Mitch Goring's rides |
| faster than 39% of Steven Royes's runners |
| faster than 21% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 7 of 11 in the market at $9.5 |
| 0 of 1 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-22
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