Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-22
The Diagnosis
MUD ’N’ BLOOD's win at Gympie was faster than 1% of everything run at the trip, and 41% of the track
MUD ’N’ BLOOD won race 2 at Gympie, faster than 88% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
MUD ’N’ BLOOD won race 2 at Gympie on Good over 1030m, averaging 15.86 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 88% of the field it beat |
| faster than 1% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 17% of Ms Kayla Johnston's rides |
| faster than 12% of Michael Lakey's runners |
| faster than 41% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 2 of 8 in the market at $3.2 |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-22Partial horse withheld — the evidence didn't support it
Continue the investigation
Open Mud ’N’ Blood in GALLOP — the full evidence behind this diagnosis, the way the engine sees it.
Open Mud ’N’ Blood in GALLOP →