Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-07-31
The Diagnosis
MR DEMOCRAT's win at Rockhampton was faster than 69% of everything run at the trip
MR DEMOCRAT won race 3 at Rockhampton, faster than 88% of the field it beat and 13% of everything clocked at the track. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
MR DEMOCRAT won race 3 at Rockhampton on Good 4 over 1400m, averaging 16.67 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 50% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 88% of the field it beat |
| faster than 69% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 20% of Warwick Satherley's rides |
| faster than 50% of Darryl Gardiner's runners |
| faster than 13% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 3 of 8 in the market at $5.0 |
| 0 of 1 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-07-31
Continue the investigation
Open Mr Democrat in GALLOP — the full evidence behind this diagnosis, the way the engine sees it.
Open Mr Democrat in GALLOP →