Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-09
The Diagnosis
MR CORNSTAR won at Muswellbrook from 4 of 9 in the market
MR CORNSTAR won race 3 at Muswellbrook, faster than 89% of the field it beat and 99% of everything clocked at the track. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
MR CORNSTAR won race 3 at Muswellbrook on Good 4 over 1000m, averaging 17.6 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 89% of the field it beat |
| faster than 96% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 99% of Aaron Bullock's rides |
| faster than 94% of Damien Smith's runners |
| faster than 99% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 4 of 9 in the market at $7.0 |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-09Partial horse withheld — the evidence didn't support it
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