Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-24
The Diagnosis
MOSGIEL CRYSTAL's win at Tuncurry was faster than 35% of everything run at the trip, and 38% of the track
MOSGIEL CRYSTAL won race 6 at Tuncurry, faster than 89% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
MOSGIEL CRYSTAL won race 6 at Tuncurry on Soft 7 over 1400m, averaging 16.11 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 89% of the field it beat |
| faster than 35% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 31% of Ben Looker's rides |
| faster than 50% of Matthew Robinson's runners |
| faster than 38% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 2 of 9 in the market at $4.0 |
| 1 of 1 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-24Partial horse withheld — the evidence didn't support it
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