Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-15
The Diagnosis
MANGIONE won at BetDeluxe Warracknabeal from 7 of 12 in the market, and 24% of the track
MANGIONE won race 5 at BetDeluxe Warracknabeal, faster than 92% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
MANGIONE won race 5 at BetDeluxe Warracknabeal on Soft 7 over 2000m, averaging 15.96 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 61% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 92% of the field it beat |
| faster than 85% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 41% of Will Gordon's rides |
| faster than 57% of Nell Carter's runners |
| faster than 24% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 7 of 12 in the market at $12.0 |
| 0 of 1 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-15
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