Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-28
The Diagnosis
MAGIC MOUNTAIN's win at Moruya was faster than 82% of everything run at the trip, and 26% of the track
MAGIC MOUNTAIN won race 2 at Moruya, faster than 92% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
MAGIC MOUNTAIN won race 2 at Moruya on Soft 5 over 1660m, averaging 16.25 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 92% of the field it beat |
| faster than 82% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 37% of Jeff Penza's rides |
| faster than 38% of Michael Sparrow's runners |
| faster than 26% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 4 of 12 in the market at $7.5 |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-28Partial horse withheld — the evidence didn't support it
Continue the investigation
Open Magic Mountain in GALLOP — the full evidence behind this diagnosis, the way the engine sees it.
Open Magic Mountain in GALLOP →