Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-15
The Diagnosis
LYON's win at Rosehill Gardens was faster than 69% of everything run at the trip, and 86% of the track
LYON won race 3 at Rosehill Gardens, faster than 94% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
LYON won race 3 at Rosehill Gardens on Good 4 over 1300m, averaging 16.82 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 50% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 94% of the field it beat |
| faster than 69% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 73% of Braith Nock's rides |
| faster than 66% of Scott Singleton's runners |
| faster than 86% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 2 of 16 in the market at $8.0 |
| 0 of 2 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-15
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