Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-29
The Diagnosis
LOLITA won at Grafton from 6 of 11 in the market, and 45% of the track
LOLITA won race 6 at Grafton, faster than 91% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
LOLITA won race 6 at Grafton on Soft 5 over 1410m, averaging 16.59 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 50% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 91% of the field it beat |
| faster than 90% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 52% of Ms Siabh Rigley's rides |
| faster than 74% of David Matts's runners |
| faster than 45% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 6 of 11 in the market at $13.0 |
| 0 of 1 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-29
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