Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-29
The Diagnosis
LISZTOMANIA won at Rosehill Gardens from 4 of 8 in the market, and 99% of the track
LISZTOMANIA won race 10 at Rosehill Gardens, faster than 88% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
LISZTOMANIA won race 10 at Rosehill Gardens on Soft 5 over 1200m, averaging 17.44 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 88% of the field it beat |
| faster than 100% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 97% of Kerrin McEvoy's rides |
| faster than 85% of Todd Payne's runners |
| faster than 99% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 4 of 8 in the market at $10.0 |
| 2 of 2 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-29Partial horse withheld — the evidence didn't support it
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