Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-29
The Diagnosis
INSTIGATE won at McKinlay from 5 of 5 in the market, and 36% of the track
INSTIGATE won race 1 at McKinlay. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
INSTIGATE won race 1 at McKinlay on Good over 1200m, averaging 16.77 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 50% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 56% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 47% of Ms Hayley Saunders's rides |
| faster than 53% of Tanya Parry's runners |
| faster than 36% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 5 of 5 in the market at $6.0 |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-29Partial field withheld — the evidence didn't support it
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