Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-29
The Diagnosis
GUAC ON's win at Cannon Park was faster than 71% of everything run at the trip, and 71% of the track
GUAC ON won race 4 at Cannon Park, faster than 91% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
GUAC ON won race 4 at Cannon Park on Good 4 over 950m, averaging 17.18 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 38% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 91% of the field it beat |
| faster than 71% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 88% of Ben Kennedy's rides |
| faster than 67% of Zac McFarlane's runners |
| faster than 71% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 2 of 11 in the market at $4.8 |
| 1 of 1 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-29
Continue the investigation
Open Guac On in GALLOP — the full evidence behind this diagnosis, the way the engine sees it.
Open Guac On in GALLOP →