Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-08
The Diagnosis
FROSTY BEAR won at Gladstone on one of its slower days — 17% of its own runs
FROSTY BEAR won race 4 at Gladstone, faster than 88% of the field it beat and 93% of everything clocked at the track. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
FROSTY BEAR won race 4 at Gladstone on Good over 1194m, averaging 16.66 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 17% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 88% of the field it beat |
| faster than 40% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 54% of Ms Melissa Taylor's rides |
| faster than 50% of Gary Clem's runners |
| faster than 93% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 4 of 8 in the market at $4.0 |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-08
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