Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-15
The Diagnosis
FOUR ESSES won at Narrandera from 7 of 12 in the market, and 70% of the track
FOUR ESSES won race 2 at Narrandera, faster than 92% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
FOUR ESSES won race 2 at Narrandera on Soft 7 over 1400m, averaging 16.49 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 92% of the field it beat |
| faster than 72% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 53% of Ms Ella Bent's rides |
| faster than 59% of Paul McVicar's runners |
| faster than 70% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 7 of 12 in the market at $18.0 |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-15Partial horse withheld — the evidence didn't support it
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