Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-22
The Diagnosis
FARRAIGE ran faster than 79% of its own record — from 5 of 10 in the market, and 21% of the track
FARRAIGE won race 4 at Port Macquarie, faster than 90% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
FARRAIGE won race 4 at Port Macquarie on Heavy 8 over 1512m, averaging 15.89 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 79% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 90% of the field it beat |
| faster than 63% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 17% of Ms Jenny Duggan's rides |
| faster than 30% of Dale Wagstaff's runners |
| faster than 21% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 5 of 10 in the market at $8.5 |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-22
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