Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-01
The Diagnosis
ELLIBABY won at Yeppoon on one of its slower days — 22% of its own runs
ELLIBABY won race 4 at Yeppoon and 84% of everything clocked at the track. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
ELLIBABY won race 4 at Yeppoon on Good 4 over 1200m, averaging 17.07 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 22% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 86% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 54% of Warwick Satherley's rides |
| faster than 65% of Glenda Bell's runners |
| faster than 84% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 1 of 7 in the market at $2.4 |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-01Partial field withheld — the evidence didn't support it
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