Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-29
The Diagnosis
DEEP TIARA won at Toowoomba from 5 of 11 in the market, and 87% of the track
DEEP TIARA won race 3 at Toowoomba, faster than 91% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
DEEP TIARA won race 3 at Toowoomba on Good 4 over 1110m, averaging 16.6 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 91% of the field it beat |
| faster than 21% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 74% of Ms Georgina Cartwright's rides |
| faster than 76% of Troy Pascoe's runners |
| faster than 87% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 5 of 11 in the market at $16.0 |
| 1 of 1 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-29Partial horse withheld — the evidence didn't support it
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