Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-18
The Diagnosis
DANCE GAVIN DANCE's win at Grafton was faster than 91% of everything run at the trip, and 89% of the track
DANCE GAVIN DANCE won race 2 at Grafton, faster than 90% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
DANCE GAVIN DANCE won race 2 at Grafton on Soft 7 over 1025m, averaging 17.36 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 90% of the field it beat |
| faster than 91% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 90% of Danny Peisley's rides |
| faster than 94% of Owen Glue's runners |
| faster than 89% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 1 of 10 in the market at $3.5 |
| 1 of 1 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-18Partial horse withheld — the evidence didn't support it
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