Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-14
The Diagnosis
COINCIDE won at Ipswich from 5 of 11 in the market, and 79% of the track
COINCIDE won race 4 at Ipswich, faster than 91% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
COINCIDE won race 4 at Ipswich on Good 4 over 800m, averaging 17.39 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 74% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 91% of the field it beat |
| faster than 54% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 88% of Jasper Franklin's rides |
| faster than 95% of Brian Gentle's runners |
| faster than 79% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 5 of 11 in the market at $9.0 |
| 0 of 1 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-14
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