Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-19
The Diagnosis
COASTAL STRIKE won at Hobart on one of its slower days — 31% of its own runs, and 88% of the track
COASTAL STRIKE won race 3 at Hobart. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
COASTAL STRIKE won race 3 at Hobart on Soft 5 over 1400m, averaging 16.33 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 31% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 59% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 68% of Ms Sam Kennedy's rides |
| faster than 56% of Paul Hill's runners |
| faster than 88% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 6 of 7 in the market at $16.0 |
| 0 of 1 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-19Partial field withheld — the evidence didn't support it
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