Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-08
The Diagnosis
CHANGING COLOURS won at Caulfield Heath on one of its slower days — 17% of its own runs
CHANGING COLOURS won race 9 at Caulfield Heath, faster than 89% of the field it beat and 26% of everything clocked at the track. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
CHANGING COLOURS won race 9 at Caulfield Heath on Soft 6 over 1500m, averaging 16.25 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 17% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 89% of the field it beat |
| faster than 57% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 29% of Blake Shinn's rides |
| faster than 35% of Lucy Yeomans's runners |
| faster than 26% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 1 of 9 in the market at $1.7 |
| 6 of 6 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-08
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