Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-22
The Diagnosis
BONIFACE's win at Royal Randwick was faster than 95% of everything run at the trip, and 27% of the track
BONIFACE won race 5 at Royal Randwick, faster than 88% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
BONIFACE won race 5 at Royal Randwick on Soft 6 over 2000m, averaging 16.16 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 88% of the field it beat |
| faster than 95% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 17% of Tommy Berry's rides |
| faster than 38% of Mick Price & Michael Kent (Jnr)'s runners |
| faster than 27% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 1 of 8 in the market at $2.45 |
| 2 of 2 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-22Partial horse withheld — the evidence didn't support it
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