Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-07-21
The Diagnosis
BONCAPO clocked Warren faster than 75% of everything it has run
BONCAPO won at Warren. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
BONCAPO won race 5 at Warren on Soft 5 over 1600m, averaging 16.57 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 75% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 90% of the field it beat |
| faster than 88% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 49% of Jacob Stiff (a1.5/52kg)'s rides |
| faster than 61% of Michael Mulholland's runners |
| faster than 62% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 1 of 23 in the market at $2.05 |
| 3 of 3 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-07-21
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