Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-20
The Diagnosis
BIG ROOSTER won at Warrnambool on one of its slower days — 12% of its own runs, and 17% of the track
BIG ROOSTER won race 7 at Warrnambool, faster than 93% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
BIG ROOSTER won race 7 at Warrnambool on Heavy 10 over 1400m, averaging 15.12 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 12% of its own clocked runs |
| faster than 93% of the field it beat |
| faster than 8% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 4% of Jack Hill's rides |
| faster than 8% of Symon Wilde's runners |
| faster than 17% of everything clocked at the track |
| 2 of 2 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-20
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