Racing · The DiagnosisPublished · 2026-08-22
The Diagnosis
AVENUE MONTAIGNE's win at Cannon Park was faster than 96% of everything run at the trip, and 24% of the track
AVENUE MONTAIGNE won race 3 at Cannon Park, faster than 90% of the field it beat. What the run was actually worth.
THE BACK PAGE · the run over the result · ACTUAL SPORTS MEDIA
AVENUE MONTAIGNE won race 3 at Cannon Park on Soft 6 over 1250m, averaging 16.89 m/s. That is the result. The run is what follows — the same performance measured against every population that gives it meaning.
| The run, measured against |
|---|
| faster than 90% of the field it beat |
| faster than 96% of everything clocked at this trip and going |
| faster than 48% of Sean Cormack's rides |
| faster than 33% of Stephen Massingham's runners |
| faster than 24% of everything clocked at the track |
| started 1 of 10 in the market at $1.7 |
| 1 of 1 experts were on it |
Read down that list and the win either grows or shrinks. That is the whole point: the race says where they finished, the clock says how fast they actually went, and only one of those two survives contact with the next start.
Evidence Actual Sport IntelligencePublished 2026-08-22Partial horse withheld — the evidence didn't support it
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